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でも，クジをひいた時の期待値って3,200円なんですよね．確率論に基づいて判断するなら，クジをひかない方が合理的なのだけど・・・．▼このような行動は，「行動経済学におけるプロスペクト理論」としてまとめられているそうです．私が知ったのはごく最近ですが，よく知られた話のようで，ネット上には，いろいろと詳しい話がありました．人が何かを判断する心理って面白い・・・なんて面白がってばかりもいられません．【教訓】自分の判断は常に問い直されなければならぬ．→→","created_at":"07/24 16:03","deletable":false,"user":{"id":759588,"path":"/users/759588","name":"棕櫚木庵","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/760/1583729493638606.jpg"},"nice":{"path":"/mutters/298985809/comments/29174042/nice","count":13,"marked":false,"resources":[{"created_at":"2026/07/30 08:09","user":{"id":781390,"path":"/users/781390","name":"paf ❤︎","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/782/1600960919210605.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/26 19:02","user":{"id":640905,"path":"/users/640905","name":"みつ","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/641/1605401818715907.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/25 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23:12","user":{"id":116443,"path":"/users/116443","name":"エディ","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/117/1308363661022059.jpeg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/24 17:55","user":{"id":625985,"path":"/users/625985","name":"panzer","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/626/1505733123486259.png"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/24 17:19","user":{"id":1153462,"path":"/users/1153462","name":"アナーキー靴下","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/1154/1630202498549961.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/24 16:33","user":{"id":863032,"path":"/users/863032","name":"りらこ","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/864/1724487289778941.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/24 16:27","user":{"id":910538,"path":"/users/910538","name":"kaho","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/911/1691054607119532.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/24 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11:03","deletable":false,"user":{"id":876349,"path":"/users/876349","name":"猫丸","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/877/1764992295799089.jpg"},"nice":{"path":"/mutters/298955668/comments/29173614/nice","count":3,"marked":false,"resources":[{"created_at":"2026/07/30 08:10","user":{"id":781390,"path":"/users/781390","name":"paf ❤︎","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/782/1600960919210605.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/25 15:54","user":{"id":1102127,"path":"/users/1102127","name":"千加","image":"https://img.bookmeter.com/profile_image/normals/1103/1582203548814524.jpg"}},{"created_at":"2026/07/24 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